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    COVID-19 in Ethiopia: A Geospatial Analysis of Vulnerability to Infection, Case Severity and Death

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    Publication Date
    2021-01-27
    Authors
    Alene, Kefyalew Addis
    Gelaw, Yalemzewod Assefa
    Fetene, Dagnachew Muluye
    Koye, Digsu N.
    Melaku, Yohannes Adama
    Gesesew, Hailay
    Birhanu, Mulugeta Molla
    Adane, Akilew Awoke
    Muluneh, Muluken Dessalegn
    Dachew, Berihun Assefa
    Abrha, Solomon
    Aregay, Atsede
    Ayele, Asnakew Achaw
    Bezabhe, Woldesellassie M
    Gebremariam, Kidane Tadesse
    Gebremedhin, Tesfaye
    Gebremedhin, Amanuel Tesfay
    Gebremichael, Lemlem
    Geleto, Ayele Bali
    Kassahun, Habtamu Tilahun
    Kibret, Getiye Dejenu
    Leshargie, Cheru Tesema
    Mekonnen, Alemayehu
    Mirkuzie, Alemnesh H.
    Mohammed, Hassen
    Tegegn, Henok Getachew
    Tesema, Azeb Gebresilassie
    Tesfay, Fisaha Haile
    Wubishet, Befikadu Legesse
    Kinfu, Yohannes
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    Type
    Article, Journal
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    Citation

    Alene KA, Gelaw YA, Fetene DM, et al. COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and death. BMJ Open 2021;11:e044606. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044606

    Abstract/Overview

    Background COVID-19 has caused a global public health crisis affecting most countries, including Ethiopia, in various ways. This study maps the vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death from COVID-19 in Ethiopia. Methods Thirty-eight potential indicators of vulnerability to COVID-19 infection, case severity and likelihood of death, identified based on a literature review and the availability of nationally representative data at a low geographic scale, were assembled from multiple sources for geospatial analysis. Geospatial analysis techniques were applied to produce maps showing the vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death in Ethiopia at a spatial resolution of 1 km×1 km. Results This study showed that vulnerability to COVID-19 infection is likely to be high across most parts of Ethiopia, particularly in the Somali, Afar, Amhara, Oromia and Tigray regions. The number of severe cases of COVID-19 infection requiring hospitalisation and intensive care unit admission is likely to be high across Amhara, most parts of Oromia and some parts of the Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples’ Region. The risk of COVID-19-related death is high in the country’s border regions, where public health preparedness for responding to COVID-19 is limited. Conclusion This study revealed geographical differences in vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death from COVID-19 in Ethiopia. The study offers maps that can guide the targeted interventions necessary to contain the spread of COVID-19 in Ethiopia.

    Subject/Keywords
    Ethiopia; Case severity; Amhara; Somali; Afar; Oromia; Tigray
    Further Details

    Open access This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY- NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non- commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non- commercial. See:http:// creativecommons. org/ licenses/ by- nc/ 4. 0/.

    Publisher
    ResearchGate
    Permalink
    https://repository.amref.ac.ke/handle/123456789/524
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    • General - GEN [355]

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